Analysis Dispels Some Beliefs About Voting in Oklahoma Primary

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Neither the youth vote nor the independent vote were decisive in Sanders' Oklahoma win.

Neither the youth vote nor the independent vote were decisive in Sanders' Oklahoma win.

 

Two myths dog the state’s Democratic primary election in which Bernie Sanders dominated on March 1 — and they’re wrong, according to one analyst.

Bill Shapard of SoonerPoll said Oklahoma Democrats have been criticized for opening their primary to independents for the first time in state history. But Shapard said critics erroneously attributed Hillary Clinton’s loss to that decision. Sanders received 174,054 votes to Clinton’s 139,338.

“I think the people at the Democrat party are wringing their hands, thinking, ‘We allowed independents to vote and our presumptive nominee, Hillary Clinton, didn’t win Oklahoma.’ … These numbers show that did not happen,” Shapard said.

Shapard said SoonerPoll’s analysis found that nearly 90 percent of registered Democrats got a Democrat ballot for president; others chose not to vote in the presidential races. Only 10.3 percent of independents got a Democratic ballot for president.

“The independents did not swing the election. There is no way. If all of the independents had voted for Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders would have still won,” Shapard said. “There is no way Bernie could have won by winning 100 percent of the independents and only a small portion of the Democrats.”

The other myth, Shapard said, is that the election swung for Sanders due to a large turnout in the youth vote. It wasn’t so big after all. Shapard said that 121,005 voters ages 18 to 34, or about 15 percent of all voters, showed up at the polls. In the primary for Democratic and independent voters, 17 percent of voters were age 18 to 34. More than 56 percent of voters were age 55 or over. The youth vote wouldn’t have swayed the vote for Sanders over Clinton, he said.

“Did the youth turn out in an overwhelming fashion? Looking at this, some of these myths have been dispelled,” Shapard said. “That’s not an overwhelming turnout.”

In general, 54 percent of all voters were women; 58 percent were Republicans, 38 percent were Democrats and 4 percent were independents.

  • Walter Riley

    You, my dear Millennials are in real trouble if you sit on your duff and allow Hillary Clinton to continue with ‘business as usual’.

    Bernie Sanders predicted the Panama Papers scandal way back in 2011.

    Now let’s do a side-by-side presentation to include the genius of Hillary Clinton.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JqLZMKKsmxc

    • ModeratesRDead

      RIGHT ON with this post. Thank you.

    • Dallas Yu

      @DavidLovesHillary:disqus: Please do some research.

    • JustUs

      Still with the discredit wagon? God will get you for that Walter.

  • Customer Support

    The Revolution Will Not Be Televised
    “The revolution will not be right back after a message
    About a white tornado, white lightning, or white people
    You will not have to worry about a dove in your bedroom
    The tiger in your tank or the giant in your toilet bowl
    The revolution will not go better with Coke
    The revolution will not fight the germs that may cause bad breath
    The revolution will put you in the driver’s seat
    The revolution will not be televised, will not be televised
    Will not be televised, will not be televised
    The revolution will be no re-run brothers
    The revolution will be live”
    Gil Scott-Heron (1949-2011)

    • Which has absolutely nothing to do with the article, actually, which you obviously either did not read or could not understand. The article actually shows that Bernie managed to get votes beyond his normal base of support, which should be of even more significance to Bernie Sanders supporters than your impressive ability to cut and paste Gil Scott Heron lyrics.

      • Customer Support

        I read the article, thank you very much. I’ll put whatever I like in the comment section. I don’t need you to give me a recap.
        I put the Gil Scott poem in because it came to mind when I read; “I think the people at the Democrat party are wringing their hands, thinking, ‘We allowed independents to vote and our presumptive nominee, Hillary Clinton, didn’t win Oklahoma.”
        I’m justifying this to you for what reason???

        • JustUs

          You do realize you’re confronting a brick wahl right? Brick only listens to Mozart or Kanye during the week.

    • DavidLovesHillary

      bernout:

      UNSURE

      UNINFORMED

      UNELECTABLE!!!!!

      Thank You Super-Delegates!!!!!!

      WhooooooooooHooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!

    • curly4

      You have a lot of descriptions of what the revolution will not be but you neglected to say what it will be. So I will fill in that part.
      The revolution will be about darker skinned people whom the whites have kept nearly in slavery. It will be about the poor rising up and getting what should have been theirs if they had not been enslaved. It will be about a fair share of the product of their labors if they can work and a living income if they cannot. It will be about free education and getting health care without going to debt which we cannot repay, on either education nor health care.

      • Customer Support

        Thanks, it’s a partial quote of Gil’s famous spoken-word poem.

    • JustUs

      Got all of Gil’s LP’s, thanks for the memories.

  • DavidLovesHillary

    bernout:

    UNSURE

    UNINFORMED

    UNELECTABLE!!!!!

    Thank You Super-Delegates!!!!!!

    WhooooooooooHooooooooooooooo!!!!!!

    • Ha ha ha

      Bahahaha! You wish. You can see where Hillary wins, usually the red states, severely uneducated and high poverty: but believe what you wish. I will donate to your education fund.

      • DavidLovesHillary

        Like Ohio?

  • Ron Smith
  • Ron Smith

    Texas primary was flat out crooked but those Oklahoma voters actually voted for Rafael (Cubanadian) Cruz the liar, cheater, thief and green eggs and ham guy that is costing taxpayers 100 billion per year for years to come. Oklahoma voters are just actually THAT downs.

    • JaredP

      There is no good Republican choice. There is a list of disasters a mile long behind each of the three remaining Republican candidates, so not much point in saying Cruz is horrible. They are all horrible.

  • Brent

    Bernie is the man of the hour. Seven of the last eight states, many in overwhelming fashion. Clinton is experiencing a repeat of 2008, and it is a good thing for the nation. She is too dishonest and corrupt to be the first female president. We need an honest person in the White House, and Bernie Sanders is the only honest person in the race. Momentum is on his side, and New York and California will put him over Clinton with room to spare. Hillary will never be the president because of her unlikable nature and her obvious dishonesty. Sanders will help restore this nation to the ideals we were founded on. We the People are for Bernie!

  • Reg Meyer

    Thanks for calling attention to the myth that Bernie’s movement is comprised of 19 yr-olds, caught up in youthful idealism. Us Vietnam veterans tried unsuccessfully to get the same message heard for the last 48 years. Thanks to Bernie, we are finally heard, and we’re not youths. Our idealism has been partially crushed, but we’re getting it back. Stop saying Hillary is better than Trump or Cruz; she’s a lot worse. You were there, you must’ve seen their act. “Only the big lie will be believed, small ones people see through.” Goebbels or Goering said that. It’s now postulate #1 in both parties’ game plan. The 3rd way DLC gang must go. For the good of the world. The Republican party must go, and so must the rotten half of the Democrats.